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June 9, 2026·1 min read

Primoris (PRIM) Keeps Bleeding After the Q1 Collapse: Renewables Overruns Gutted the Margin

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By Ruslan Averin · RFC Capital Research

PRIM fell again on June 9 as post-earnings selling continued. Ruslan Averin's Primoris stock analysis: why a Q1 miss and a big guidance cut still weigh on the stock.

Primoris (PRIM) Keeps Bleeding After the Q1 Collapse: Renewables Overruns Gutted the Margin — Ruslan Averin, RFC Capital Research
Analysis: Ruslan Averin · RFC Capital Research

Primoris Services (NYSE:PRIM) fell again in the June 9 session, extending the decline that began with its Q1 2026 collapse.

By Ruslan Averin. This is Ruslan Averin's PRIM stock analysis — here is how I read it.

The headline number was bad in May. What keeps the stock falling is what the number revealed about the margin.

MetricValue
Q1 EPS$0.59 (vs $0.85 est)
Q1 revenue$1.56B (vs $1.73B est)
2026 adj. EPS guidecut to $4.80–$5.00 (from $5.80–$6.00)
Operating margin1.6% (vs 4.3% YoY)
Energy segment revenue-$152.9M (-13.8% YoY)

Why it fell

The damage was done in early May, when Primoris missed on both lines and cut full-year guidance hard — and the stock has bled since. The core problem is margin: operating margin collapsed to 1.6% from 4.3% a year earlier, and adjusted EBITDA fell to $60.5M from $99.4M, driven by renewables-project cost overruns that pulled Energy-segment revenue down 13.8%. June 9's move is forced selling and post-miss drift — institutions trimming positions, with shareholder-investigation notices adding noise — rather than fresh news.

What it means for you

Cost overruns on fixed-price renewables work are exactly the kind of problem that lingers: the contracts are already signed, and the margin damage shows up quarter after quarter until they roll off. A guidance cut of nearly a dollar in EPS is the company telling you the recovery is not next quarter's story.

Bottom line: I would stay out until Primoris shows the renewables overruns are contained and the margin is rebuilding — a 1.6% operating margin is a problem to watch resolve, not to buy into early.

Why did Primoris (PRIM) stock fall on June 9, 2026?
The June 9 slide is continued post-earnings selling, not a new event. Primoris missed badly in Q1 2026 — EPS of $0.59 versus $0.85 expected and revenue of $1.56B versus $1.73B — and cut full-year guidance, and funds have kept exiting since.
Is PRIM a buy after the drop?
Ruslan Averin wants evidence the renewables cost overruns are contained before touching it — a margin that collapsed from 4.3% to 1.6% is the kind of damage that needs more than one quarter to repair. This is analysis, not a position.
How much did Primoris cut guidance?
Primoris cut its 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $4.80–$5.00 from a prior $5.80–$6.00, against a consensus near $5.91 — a sizable downward revision.