Independent Investment Analysis
RFC Capital Research
Capital & Markets
Analysis · Strategy · Perspective

Markets, capital, and the discipline of patient investing.

RFC Capital Research publishes the independent analysis of Ruslan Averin — an investor focused on public markets, sovereign and corporate fixed income, cross-border real estate, and capital allocation across emerging and frontier markets.

No institutional mandate, no house view to defend — a working record of how one investor thinks about risk, value, and the markets most analysts avoid.

Reserves, Not the Rate: What Ukraine's 45-Hryvnia Dollar Really Signals for 2026-2027Ukraine's 16% Key Rate: Savings Become the Hryvnia's Main Line of DefenceUkraine's 2027 Budget Gap of $32.6 Billion Dwarfs Finland's 34th PackageLennar's August Quarter: the 12.9% Incentive Line Meets a 6.76% MortgageDuration, Not Coupon: Why a 5.25% 30-Year Treasury Is a Trade, Not a HoldingCPI on 11 September, Fed on 16 September: How Two Dates Reprice a Bond PortfolioRecord $6.23 Diesel: The Refining War Behind Trump's Appeal to KyivKyiv 2026: Where $70,000 Actually Earns More — Apartments, Pre-Sale, Retail or BondsUkraine's 2026 Property Tax: One Law, Five Prices per Square MetreUkraine's Seven-Year Housing Table, Recalculated in Real Terms City by CityOnlyFans Was Valued at $3.15 Billion — Half of What Was Discussed a Year EarlierAdaptHealth Fell 44% — Reimbursement Risk in Home Medical EquipmentDaVita Beat Estimates, Reaffirmed Guidance, and Fell 18%Uber Grew Bookings 24% and the Stock Fell 5.3%The IMF Just Released Ukraine's Second Tranche — And Attached a Warning14 Million Tonnes of Wheat, 25 of Corn — Ukraine's Grain Trade Still WorksAlphabet (GOOGL) Falls 6% on a Capex Raise: When Good News Gets SoldPegasystems Fell 14% — When a $0.35 Print Meets a $0.43 ExpectationSpaceX — A Starship Scrub and a 20% Repricing of the Private GiantNordic American Tankers — The Retail Suezmax Bet on Hormuz RatesGlobal Water Resources — A Monthly Dividend on the Fastest-Growing Water in AmericaThe Semiconductor Selloff — When the Market's Winners Become the Fault LineUkraine's Central Bank Held at 15% — Why the Hold Matters More Than a Cut Would Have — The Other Side of the TradeApple, Amazon and Netflix Closed Red on a Green Day — The Rotation Out of Megacap Isn't OverAnthropic Just Overtook OpenAI: $965B vs $862B — What the Flip Means for AI InvestorsMoney Markets Still Pay Up to 4.01% — While Inflation Runs 4.2%. Read That TwiceClaiming Social Security at 62? Only Two Things Decide Your Maximum CheckTD Bank Returned 73% in a Year — Now the Math Says It's 10% OvervaluedBYD vs Tesla: The EV Margin War Is Over — And Tesla Didn't WinKyiv Premium Residential in 2026: The Pechersk District Investment Case